Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
SuperDraft is one of the hottest platforms in the market for DFS players. SuperDraft offers a unique twist on your traditional DFS experience with game modes like “Multiplier” and “Super 15.”
This daily article will focus on daily value plays from SuperDraft’s exclusive multiplier game mode. By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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With seven games on Tuesday’s slate, let’s get into some of the multiplier plays over on SuperDraft.
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Guard
Chris Paul, Phoenix Suns (1.2x score multiplier) – There are a lot of palatable options near the top of the guard position, but the future Hall of Famer’s recent form has piqued my interest enough for him to occupy a spot in the article. It’s been a six-game rampage for CP3 from a fantasy perspective, and the Suns are on a 10-game win streak. Paul has averaged 1.43 SuperDraft points per minute over the last six games and boasts a 21.3% usage rate and 46.7% assist percentage in that span. As I mentioned, there are plenty of other ways to go at guard that are great plays, from James Harden on the other side of this game, to Dejounte Murray and Steph Curry down in San Antonio. But if Paul continues this type of fantasy production, and there’s no reason to think it slows down with this game having the highest implied total on the slate, then he’s my favorite player to roster in that multiplier range.
Spencer Dinwiddie, Washington Wizards (1.4x) – Bradley Beal is expected to miss the next couple of games for Washington, opening up another opportunity to roster Dinwiddie with his elevated rates. In nine games without Beal this season Dinwiddie is averaging 23.6 points, 8.2 assists and 5 rebounds per game, translating to 45.4 SuperDraft points per game. The only hesitation I have in locking Dinwiddie in on this slate is the matchup. The Wizards are currently 11-point road underdogs against Milwaukee, and the Bucks are in the top third of the league in defending primary ball handlers according to our Advanced DVP tool. That being said, I can’t ignore the production Dinwiddie has recorded in a not-insignificant sample size with Beal out this season. The 6.3% increase in usage and the stats I listed above are enough for me to overlook the matchup and want Dinwiddie in the majority of my lineups.
Forward
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (1x) – The forward position is a little tough as things stand now. Value may open up as we inch closer to lock, but for the moment I want to prioritize the reigning NBA Finals MVP at his floor multiplier. The Bucks have the highest implied team total on the slate, and unless this game is completely out of hand by the beginning of the fourth quarter, we should get full run from Giannis. The Greek Freak is averaging 57.1 SuperDraft points per game this season, and we won’t need much more than that average performance to be satisfied with rostering him at the end of the night. Antetokounmpo has exceeded 60 SuperDraft points in four of his last 10 games and looks primed to do so again in a matchup against Washington who is bottom five in the NBA against four of his traits in our advanced DVP tool (primary ball handler, point forward, rim protector and skilled center).
Gary Trent, Toronto Raptors (1.55x) – We’ve discussed the Raptors consolidated rotation throughout this season, and we’ll look to attack the huge minutes these guys are projected to get again, this time with Trent. After missing six games near the beginning of the month with an ankle issue, the sharpshooting wing has been on fire of late, averaging 32 points per game over his last four outings. He’s averaged 47 SuperDraft points per game over that span, but keep in mind that included a triple overtime thriller against the Heat late last week. Even with that outlier included, he’s been producing too well to ignore at this multiplier, and if he’s going to continue to play into the upper-30s in minutes then I will remain interested in including his high floor/ceiling combo in my SuperDraft lineups.
Center
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets (1x) – It just feels right at this point. For the vast majority of slates he’s been on this season, the reigning league MVP has occupied this spot in the article. He’s paid off time and time again on SuperDraft, averaging 60.7 SuperDraft points per game through his 44 games this year. The issue Tuesday is that as of this writing Jokic is listed as questionable to play with a toe injury. If he suits up, I’m locking him in once again at what should be lower ownership than normal given the injury designation. He has dipped below 62.25 SuperDraft points just once in his last eight games. If Jokic ends up sitting this one out, my priority becomes the star center on the other side of this game, Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns at his 1.15x multiplier.
