NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
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By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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As either Zac Graham or I will continue to do all throughout the NBA season, I will provide you with my three favorite options on SuperDraft DFS for the slate at hand. In this case, we have an 11-game slate Friday.
Zach LaVine, SG/SF, Chicago Bulls (@ GSW)
Score multiplier: 1.25x
With Nikola Vucevic entering the NBA’s health and safety protocols, usage in the Chicago offense will funnel through one fewer player Friday. This bodes incredibly well for an already high-usage player like Zach LaVine.
While the sample size this season is nothing to drool over considering the fact that LaVine and Vucevic have shared the court more than any other duo on the Bulls this season, LaVine’s rates without him are otherworldly. In his 25.6 minutes without Vucevic on the court this season, LaVine is averaging 1.66 SuperDraft points per minute with a 43.7% usage rate and 30.0% assist rate. The usage rate is high enough to lead the entire NBA if extrapolated over the length of the season, as LaVine turns into his 2019-20 ball-dominant self. While he’ll still be competing with DeMar DeRozan for the usage, there’s a chance that we see them stagger minutes a bit more without the insurance of Vucevic available, making LaVine a smash play with a 1.25x multiplier.
Bobby Portis, PF, Milwaukee Bucks (@ BOS)
Score multiplier: 1.55x
Bobby Portis has been a popular player over the last trio of games, but on an 11-game slate fresh off a dud, the masses are likely to hop off. This is our time to hop back on. He played only 24 minutes on the second leg of a back-to-back but was still able to post just about a fantasy point per minute, finishing with 23.75 SuperDraft points. Given that he’s dealt with a soft-tissue injury this season, the minute reduction on the second leg of a back-to-back could have been foreseen.
With the Bucks coming off a day of rest, I fully expect his minutes to tick back up into the 30-35 range. Over the last two games in that range, Portis has averaged 16.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.5 steals and 2.0 blocks per game, averaging 1.47 SuperDraft points per minute. That per-minute production rivals those like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Anthony Davis and the other studs on the slate. Getting him at a 1.55x multiplier gives you an astronomical ceiling, making Portis one of my favorite options on the entire slate.
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Jarrett Allen, C, Cleveland Cavaliers (vs. DET)
Score multiplier: 1.25x
Speaking of elite production, it’s hard to find a big man who’s been more productive than Jarrett Allen over the last week. With Lauri Markkanen and Kevin Love out, Allen has been playing some massive minutes, posting at least 38 minutes in three of his last five games, while playing at least 34 minutes in each of the other two games.
Over that span, he’s averaged 19.0 points, 15.0 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 2.8 steals/blocks. He’s led the entire NBA in rebounding chances (24.0) and contested rebounds per game (7.4) over that span and should continue to throttle teams’ interior defenses, starting with the Pistons Friday. Getting a 1.25x multiplier here is an absolute gift considering that getting 50-plus SuperDraft points is a very realistic expectation.
