NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
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This daily article will focus on daily value plays from SuperDraft’s exclusive multiplier game mode. By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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With five games on Thursday’s slate, let’s get into some of the multiplier plays over on SuperDraft.
Guard
James Harden, Brooklyn Nets (1x score multiplier) – The Nets showed out in Chicago Wednesday, using a mid-second-half run to fuel a blowout of the first-place Bulls on national television. Thursday, they’ll see a team on the other end of the standings spectrum as Oklahoma City comes to Brooklyn. The Nets have already ruled out Kevin Durant, LaMarcus Aldridge, Nicolas Claxton and Patty Mills for various reasons, and it’s a home game so we won’t see Kyrie Irving in this one either. That leaves a ton of potential value and one amazing spend up option in Harden. This is very simple: You play Harden as your priority stud and move on. In four games without Durant this season, Harden is averaging 69.6 SuperDraft points per game in 40 minutes per contest. In a game against the Thunder that is now expected to stay close (the line has fallen from BKN favored by 10.5 to just 5.5), there’s no argument I can come up with to fade Harden in any sort of cash game scenario and it’s extremely tough for me to go elsewhere in tournaments either.
Ben McLemore (1.85x) and Dennis Smith (2x), Portland Trail Blazers – These two initially had their own blurbs, but the Brooklyn news made some Harden talk a must. We’ve had a lot of Blazers occupying spots in this article over the last few weeks, but Thursday these two are standing out above the rest of the guard value on this slate. Not only will Portland be without Damian Lillard, CJ McCollum and Norman Powell, but they will also have to make do without the services of Anfernee Simons, who is out due to a personal issue. That frees up McLemore and Smith to take the reins in this backcourt, something the latter certainly has no trouble doing. Both should play massive minutes against Denver, and I prefer DSJ if I must choose between the two, given his propensity to contribute across the box score while McLemore is historically much more scoring dependent. But if you end up pairing them, I’m fine with that as of this writing. Of course, if more news breaks that shuffles our priorities at guard between now and lock, you can find all my reorganized preferences both in the rankings and on the NBA stream before lock.
Forward
Brandon Ingram, New Orleans Pelicans (1.2x) – Let me start out by saying just because Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t in this article doesn’t mean he’s not a very strong play at his 1x floor multiplier. But I have a lot of interest in getting to Ingram here against the Clippers as well with his 20% bonus in multiplier. The Pelicans star wing has been just that recently, averaging 29 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists over his last three games en route to 48 SuperDraft points per game in that span. He could go overlooked on a slate that will have most players looking towards the Brooklyn and Portland rosters for value and the Warriors and Bucks squads for spend ups. On a short five-game slate, I have a lot of interest in rostering a guy like Ingram, who sports a 30.2% usage rate on the season, if he’s going to be under-rostered.
Bobby Portis, Milwaukee Bucks (1.55x) – Portis should be a hot commodity once again on SuperDraft at this multiplier, and he’s been the definition of a high risk, high reward play over the last few games. The matchup here against the Warriors isn’t great on paper, but the entire Milwaukee front court sees a slight boost given the absence of Draymond Green for Golden State. Kevon Looney isn’t exactly a great matchup either, but if Portis is going to continue to see these elevated minutes (34.6 per game over his last three compared to 28.2 on the season) it’s hard to stay away from him on SuperDraft with the 55% boost on his fantasy output. As things stand now, I would like to have exposure to one of Portis, Antetokounmpo or Khris Middleton in every lineup, and I prefer them in that order when multipliers are considered.
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Center
Day’Ron Sharpe, Brooklyn Nets (2x) – Your eyes are not deceiving you; we have reached a slate that involves the Denver Nuggets and Nikola Jokic is not occupying the center spot in this article. Hopefully it goes without saying that he’s still an extremely strong play, and at worst he is a “1B” option for me at the position with a tasty matchup against his former teammate Jusuf Nurkic and the shorthanded Blazers. But with the Nets sitting out the players mentioned when we talked about above when discussing James Harden, Sharpe stands out above the rest of the center field given his multiplier. Sharpe is a rookie out of North Carolina and has been notably productive on a point-per-minute basis both in college, in the NBA Summer League and now with the big-league team in Brooklyn. He got the start last night against the Bulls and was fantastic in his 22 minutes of time, going for 29.75 SuperDraft points. In fact, Sharpe has averaged 1.22 SuperDraft points per minute over his last six appearances. With the matchup against OKC looking as juicy as ever, I have Sharpe just barely getting the nod as my priority center play over Jokic given the 2x ceiling multiplier he carries on Thursday’s slate.
