FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
The NBA has a massive 11 games on the schedule for Wednesday, which means lots of potential wagering opportunities. We have a few places where the spread or total are about 9% off in our FTN NBA Betting model, but none are a 10% or higher edge. We have lots of early edges in the FTNBets Player Prop Tool as well, although we are still waiting for some injury news before the books drop the rest of the player props for some of these games.
Updates will be available in the NBA Bet Tracker throughout the day. The best place to get the live updates is our NBA betting discord. Here are the best bets I am looking at early Wednesday.
Best NBA Total Bet
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers Under 235.5
This is our biggest edge on a total at just about 10%. Portland is a great offensive team, ranking sixth in points per 100 possessions. OKC is not, ranking 24th of 30 teams. Neither team is good defensively, which is why we see such a high total in this game. Josh Giddey is out for the Thunder, and it looks like Jusuf Nurkic will be out for the Blazers. If Nurk is out, that opens up big minutes for Drew Eubanks again. He is not nearly the offensive player Nurkic is, which is another factor that points to the under.
Best NBA Points Prop Bet
Kevin Porter Under 18.5 Points
Kevin Porter has only topped 18.5 points in one of the last six games. Orlando is not a tough matchup, but Porter’s scoring has not been on the decline in the last two weeks. His long-distance shooting is the problem. He’s missed every three pointer he has taken in four of the last six games. He’s just 3-for-28 over that stretch. Until Porter can consistently knock down the outside shot, teams are laying off him, and that makes it tougher for him to get to the basket for easy ones.
Best NBA Rebound Total
Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 Rebounds
Jaylen Brown has topped 6.5 rebounds in eight of his last 10 games. In two of the last three games, he’s had 14 or more rebounds. He’s averaging more than 7 rebounds per game on the season and draws an up-tempo matchup here against the Pacers, which should have all of the Celtics playing toward their ceiling production across the board.
