FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Wednesday is always a big night for NBA action. We have 10 games to look at for this one. We did not have a single edge of 10% in either the spread or total market on our early look, but we did find a few edges in the FTN NBA Prop model. Make sure to get over to the FTN Bets Discord or NBA Bet Tracker to stay up to date with everything our analysts are looking out for. Here are my three best bets for NBA action Wednesday.
Best NBA Point Prop Bet
Kelly Oubre Over 19.5 Points
That is eight straight games of 20-plus points for Kelly Oubre, which is why the 19.5-point prop seems a little misguided here. More importantly, we have seen 20 or more field goal attempts from Oubre in each of the last four games. When a guy sees a bump in scoring, that is usually the first thing I want to see to determine if it’s sustainable. If a guy is shooting 60% for a few games, then you can expect that high score to come back to earth. As long as a guy is consistently seeing his role in the offense change, as evidenced by the field goal attempts, then we can feel more confident in the jump being sustainable. That’s the case with Oubre.
Best NBA Rebound Prop Bet
Isaiah Stewart Under 8.5 Rebounds
Isaiah Stewart has failed to top this number in six of his last eight games. On top of that, his minutes are below where they were earlier in the season when he was having some of those double-digit rebounding games. He’s only topped 30 minutes in one of the last five games, and he’s played a little more away from the basket too. I project him slightly below this number.
Best NBA Assist Prop Bet
Darius Garland Over 7.5 Assists
This number is about 1-2 assists too low for Darius Garland. He has cleared it in eight of his last 12 games and is averaging about 8 assists per game on the season. This is not the greatest matchup, but it’s also not the worst. When it comes to opposing point guards, the Cavs are middle of the pack for fantasy production allowed.
