NBA Best Bets of the Day (1/2)

NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games. 

I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.

Let’s get to it. 

Nikola Jokic o24.5 points 

(-115, FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic projects for nearly 28 points in my model tonight, and he has been on a roll as of late. He is averaging 30 points over his last 10 games and has gone over this number in seven of his last 10, while scoring 29+ in six of his last 10 games. 

Christian Wood o1.5 points  

(-130, DraftKings)

I have hit this number a few times for Christian Wood recently, with success in three of his last four games. He should continue to see increased time on the floor due to some injuries the Mavs are dealing with. 

Jeremy Sochan o2.5 assists 

(-114, FanDuel)

Jeremy Sochan has taken over a new role as of late, being much more involved in the offense with increased usage rates over the last two weeks (over 22%). Devin Vassell could return tonight, but regardless Sochan looks good in this spot against the Nets.