Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NBA
DFS

5 Stats to Know: NBA DFS March 18

Share
Contents
Close

Welcome to “5 Stats to Know.” This NBA DFS article will appear every day, Monday through Friday, provided by yours truly, to help you gain a quantitative edge on the rest of the field when identifying core plays.

The format of this article is simple. I will provide five stats that stuck out to me when diving into the day’s NBA slate. These could be derived from FTN’s suite of tools (Advanced DvPNBA On/Off Splits) or from the NBA’s extensive library of statistics.

 

Make sure to check out all of the great FTN NBA offerings and fantastic NBA Tools, including our FTN NBA Odds Tracker and daily FTN NBA DFS cheat sheets!

Now, onto the noteworthy numbers for the slate at hand.

Jalen Smith, PF/C, Indiana Pacers (@ HOU)

Jalen Smith has logged the second-most minutes among all Pacers (219.8) with both Isaiah Jackson and Goga Bitadze off the floor

If you’re strictly counting frontcourt players, Smith has played the most (219.8 minutes) in this scenario, with Terry Taylor being the next closest at 190.0 minutes. He’s carried over his elite per-minute production, averaging 38.82 DraftKings points per 36 minutes in this scenario and could very well slide into the starting lineup if Bitadze is also ruled out, as Jackson has been placed in the concussion protocol. In a smash-matchup for big men, Smith could be one of the best values on the slate if the dominos fall correctly.

Jordan Clarkson, PG/SG, Utah Jazz (vs. LAC)

Jordan Clarkson leads the Jazz in usage rate (30.5%) across 854.7 minutes with Donovan Mitchell and Bojan Bogdanovic off the floor this season

A picture containing text, person, screenshot

Description automatically generated

It’s a tale as old as time. If Donovan Mitchell is out, Clarkson stands to see a massive bump in production. The difference here, however, is that both Mitchell and fellow volume-hog Bojan Bogdanovic have been ruled out. While Clarkson should still come off the bench, he’s posted a usage rate north of 30% with these two off the floor while averaging 1.04 DraftKings points per minute. Against a Clippers team that struggles against scorers (per advanced DvP), Clarkson has a sky-high ceiling relative to his sub-$6,000 price tag.

Tyler Herro, PG/SG, Miami Heat (vs. OKC)

Over his last 11 games, Tyler Herro has averaged 25.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game