The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/16)


Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.



New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles betting breakdown

Yankees (-240), Orioles (+198)
Total: 10.0 runs
Jordan Montgomery (L) vs. Chris Ellis (R)

Three things to know

  • The Yankees are playing with fire, with more late-game heroics Wednesday. Can they maintain this?
  • The Yankees have really been struggling, strangely — they own a .320 wOBA and 24.4% strikeout rate.
  • The Orioles have ugly marks of only a .320 wOBA.

Best bets: The Yankees continue to bop the baseball and are now in a three-way tie for the Wild Card. Take them again.

Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays betting breakdown

Tigers (+184), Rays (-220)
Total: 8.5 runs
Tyler Alexander (L) vs. Dietrich Enns (L)

Three things to know

  • Tampa has been slamming at the plate, rocking a .329 wOBA and .203 ISO.
  • The Tigers? They have been far worse, logging a .306 wOBA and 24.3% strikeout rate.
  • Dietrich Enns is making his first start of the year, second of his career and first since 2017.

Best bets: It’s hard betting against the 90-win Rays. Peek at them for a F3/F5 bet.

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers betting breakdown

Astros (-220), Rangers (+184)
Total: 9.0 runs
Framber Valdez (L) vs. Glenn Otto (R)

Three things to know

  • Framber Valdez lies among the league’s elite with a 69.2% ground-ball rate.
  • Houston is cookin’ at the plate, logging a .343 wOBA and 18.5% strikeout rate in the last 30 days.
  • The Rangers are woefully bad at the plate. They own a .312 wOBA and .148 ISO in the same time frame.

Best bets: This one could get ugly — take the ‘Stros in a F3/F5 bet. Also, some homer props could be a lot of fun as the Stros slugged plenty Wednesday.



(Get all my MLB betting picks here)

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