Trevor Rogers DVOA, Advanced Stats, & Fantasy Rankings

MASN's Roch Kubatko reports that Baltimore Orioles left-hander Trevor Rogers (knee) injured his right kneecap in January and won't be ready for Opening Day in late March. Specifically, Rogers suffered a subluxation of his knee last month and is weeks behind schedule with spring training kicking off this week. The 27-year-old southpaw only made four starts due to injuries in 2023 and wasn't very effective in his 25 starts last year, going 2-11 with a 4.92 ERA (4.52 FIP) and 1.58 WHIP with a 97:56 K:BB in 124 1/3 innings pitched for the Miami Marlins and Orioles. Not only was his velocity way down, but Rogers had a weak 17.3 percent strikeout rate and 10 percent walk rate. He was even demoted to the minors for a bit to work on his mechanics. Rogers worked to regain some velocity this offseason, but now another injury has gotten in the way. Fantasy managers in mixed leagues should be avoiding him on draft day.

Baltimore Orioles left-hander Trevor Rogers, who as acquired in a trade from the Miami Marlins last year, was sent to Triple-A Norfolk after four mostly ineffective starts with his new club. It was a big fall for Rogers, who had a 3.17 ERA in his final nine starts with the Marlins. He had a 7.11 ERA in his four starts for the O's. Rogers was an All-Star as a rookie in 2021 but admits he was overwhelmed in his move to Baltimore in 2024. The veteran lefty did have a 2.96 ERA with 28 K's and six walks in 24 1/3 innings in his final four starts for Norfolk, though, and he is going to a player performance data-driven center this offseason for further evaluation to try and regain some velocity. Rogers averaged 94.5 mph on his fastball in 2021, but it was down to 91.9 mph in 2024. The 27-year-old is focusing on getting his lower half stronger as he looks to bounce back in 2025 with the O's.

The Baltimore Orioles optioned left-hander Trevor Rogers to Triple-A Norfolk and recalled left-hander Nick Vespi and activated infielder Emmanuel Rivera in corresponding moves. The O's also optioned Colin Selby and Livan Soto and recalled Matt Bowman in a series of moves on Thursday. Since Rogers joined Baltimore's starting rotation in a questionable trade that sent infield prospect Connor Norby to the Miami Marlins, the 26-year-old left-hander has posted a 7.11 ERA while allowing 16 runs (15 earned) on 25 hits (two homers), walking 10 and striking out 12 in 19 innings pitched. Rogers hasn't gone beyond five innings of work since June 21 and will now head to the minors to work on some things before rejoining the O's when rosters expand in September. Rogers has gone 2-11 overall in 2024 with a 4.92 ERA, a 1.58 WHIP, a career-worst 13.3% strikeout rate and a career-high 11.1% walk rate.