Luis Severino DVOA, Advanced Stats, & Fantasy Rankings

Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports that Oakland Athletics pitcher Luis Severino will toe the rubber for the team on Opening Day. It comes as little surprise, considering the 31-year-old is the most qualified of his rotation-mates to do so. Severino pitched a full workload last season for the first time since 2018 -- the last time he threw more than 102 innings in a campaign. He was solid for the New York Mets -- if unspectacular -- notching an 8.0 K/9 and 3.91 ERA in 182 innings -- right in line with his xERA of 3.88. Oakland's rotation contains a few new, interesting arms in 2025, including Severino and former Tampa Bay Rays starter Jeffrey Springs. Only time will tell if it helps them improve from the third-worst record in the American League in 2024 (69-93).

The Athletics agreed to a three-year, $67 million deal with free-agent right-hander Luis Severino on Thursday, according to sources. It's the largest guarantee in the franchise's history. Severino had a bounce-back season in 2024 with the New York Mets, posting a 3.91 ERA over 182 innings, and now he'll head west to pitch for the A's, who will play in a minor-league stadium in Sacramento for the next three seasons before their planned move to Las Vegas. Severino will now anchor the A's rotation, but he can opt out of his deal after the second year. The 30-year-old was an All-Star in 2017 and 2018 with the Yankees before missing most of 2019 with a lat strain and all of 2020 due to Tommy John surgery. Severino struck out 161 batters in 2024 with the Mets and had the fourth-hardest average fastball among qualified starters. Durability issues aren't going away, and his ceiling is lower with the A's.

Free-agent right-hander Luis Severino is officially rejecting the New York Mets' $21.05 million qualifying offer for one year on Tuesday, according to a source. The Mets and Severino are allowed to discuss a potential deal for a reunion, but if he signs elsewhere on the open market, the Mets will get an extra draft pick as compensation. The Mets could get additional compensation if left-hander Sean Manaea also rejects his qualifying offer and signs with another club. Severino will be heading into his age-31 season in 2025 coming off a year in which he went 11-7 with a 3.91 ERA (4.21 FIP), a 1.24 WHIP and 161:60 K:BB in 182 innings over his 31 starts in his first year in Queens. The two-time All-Star was able to stay healthy all year, but fantasy managers probably shouldn't expect a second straight year of good health for the oft-injured hurler.