Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Corey Kluber Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-132, BetRivers)
The veteran right-hander for the New York Yankees has been a bit of an assassin in recent outings, racking up 21 strikeouts over his last three starts. How? Not via increased velocity, but the disgusting straight change-up that he has been throwing a pile. Kluber's 13.4% swinging-strike rate would be the second-best mark of his career. A first 5 RL bet is a good idea, too.
Clayton Kershaw Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-140, FanDuel)
The last week has been a bit wonky for Kershaw — while he was pulled early from a start due to poor performance, he bounced back with five solid innings and a win against the tough-to-strikeout Angels. Friday, he faces a Miami Marlins team that ranks eighth-worst in team strikeout rate. Prior to that odd week, Kershaw whiffed seven or more three of the last four starts. Dial him in.
DJ LeMahieu to Hit a Home Run (+550, DraftKings)
Dean Kremer has had a bit of an up-and-down 2021 season, but the biggest problem that the left-hander has had is getting knocked around, allowing 2.08 HR/9. And Camden Yards, this could spell an even bigger issue. Kremer has also allowed a 42.5% fly-ball rate, so all Yankees are in play, but I love LeMahieu's value here.
