Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Cubs-Giants Over 8.0 Runs (-128, DraftKings)
This series has been highlighted by excellent offensive production — and it's largely due to two very good offenses. While they both provide plenty of pop, it doesn't hurt that the Bay Area is experiencing unusually warm temperatures and a very strong wind (11 MPH straight out). While Kevin Gausman has been really good this year, I still like the over.
Eduardo Rodríguez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-149, BetMGM)
If a team is regularly rolling out Brett Gardner and Clint Frazier in their lineup, this offense has problems. At least 99 of them. As a result, I am locking in this OVER, and fast — FanDuel has already pushed it to 6.5 whiffs. In the last two weeks, the Yankees sport a .114 isolated power (ISO) mark, a league-worst 29.2% strikeout rate, and a wRC+ of 85. Yikes.
Clayton Kershaw Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+110, FanDuel)
The Braves are absolutely an offense that can get loose, and in a hurry. But, keep in mind this — they swing and miss a ton, too. Over the last two weeks, the Braves have recorded the fourth-worst strikeout rate in baseball (26.8%), and against lefties this year, they've recorded the eighth-worst mark in baseball at 25.0%. I like Kershaw here even at a slightly elevated total.
