Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets going, another way to get in on the action is to analyzes the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Sandy Alcantara Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-128, BetMGM)
The Marlins rotation has taken a massive leap forward so far in the young season, something many predicted. Flush with talented young arms, Alcantara is part of a group of rock-solid hurlers, and he is blessed with a tantalizing matchup Saturday — a Giants offense that ranks as one of the league's worst, posting a .293 wOBA with a 25.4% strikeout rate. Don't ignore their inflated 29.4% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching.
Casey Mize Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-113, FanDuel)
I'll be honest — of all the young arms in baseball today, Mize was one I didn't see starting off so well. He's struck out four and five batters in in his two starts so far, including five against a very good Astros offense. The A's have struggled to start the year offensively, posting a 25.7% whiff rate on the season. Expect Mize to blow past the over Saturday.
Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run (+425, FanDuel)
Early season slugging really hasn't been Devers’ thing, but oh man is he on a tear recently. Devers has slammed five homers on the young season, bombing his way to a .936 OPS mark on the 2021 season. and, he has a plus matchup against Dylan Cease — for his career, he's carved up same-sided bats, but he has been pummeled by lefties to the tune of a .378 wOBA and .529 slugging percentage. A long ball by the young Red Sox player isn't out of the question.
