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January 11, 2021

Sony Open model odds

Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event – The Sony Open.  You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments.  These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

January 5, 2021

Tournament of Champions betting card preview

The PGA Tour wasn't away for very long, but the 2021 season kicks off this week with the annual trip to Maui for the Tournament of Champions at the Kapalua Plantation Course, a unique par-73 track. As is often the case with coastal courses, wind can play a major factor in the event, which was […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

January 5, 2021

Sentry Tournament of Champions betting preview

After a tumultuous 2020, the PGA Tour returns to kick off the 2021 calendar year in Kapalua, HI, at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.  This is mostly a tournament of champions, but with the 2020 schedule deviating, the requirements to get into the Tournament of Champions was altered. Those who won, as well as those […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

January 3, 2021

Handicapping this week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions

The PGA Tour returns this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Below are odds from my model for this week’s event. I have included both the win probability in percentage form as well as the American-style odds. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 31, 2020

Betting 101: Bankroll management and staking golf wagers

I wanted to write something to explain expectations of following along with golf wagering, and this could be helpful for your wagering in other sports as well. You could be great at picking winners in any sport, but if you’re terrible at managing your money, you will end up losing. Downturns are an inevitable part […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 28, 2020

Analyzing variance in putting on the PGA Tour

This week, I would like to see if there is any predictability in putting when breaking it down by five-foot increments. Last week, I introduced a basic breakdown showing how ball striking and short game relates to a golfer’s skill. We saw that although ball-striking made up more of the composition, the short game still played […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 21, 2020

Analyzing golf skill vs. long and short games

Every week, the most talked about statistics in golf are strokes gained, and in particular, ball striking. If you’re not familiar with strokes gained, the PGA Tour describes in depth how it is calculated here. On the surface, strokes gained stats are great at telling the story of how a golfer has come upon their […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 15, 2020

Betting 101: Why you should convert American odds to win probability

This is a lesson that can be used across all sports for many different reasons, but I’m going to go over why I think it’s especially important when wagering on golf outrights. I’ve written a lot recently about finding edges and what to do with those edges once you find them. Your wagering amount should […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 7, 2020

Breaking down the course for the DP World Tour Championship

We have made it to the end of the road. This week's DP World Tour Championship on the European Tour is the last major tournament of the 2020 calendar year.  It’s been a strange journey for both the PGA and European tours; makeshift schedules, new courses, new sponsors, co-sanctioned events, and more. The culmination of all of […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 7, 2020

Betting 101: Expected value and staking

In last week’s betting article, I mentioned that in order to be a more profitable bettor, you want to know your expected value on wagers you’re making and then how to determine how much to bet. These steps are important to being profitable over time. You can have an edge in wagering but if you’re incorrectly staking, […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

December 1, 2020

Mayakoba Golf Classic betting card preview

After a week off, the PGA Tour is back this week for the final stop on the 2020 calendar. A surprisingly strong field heads to Playa del Carmen, Mexico for this year's Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club. Axis does a great job of previewing El Camaleon in his course breakdown this week. […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

December 1, 2020

Betting 101: What to look for when betting on golf

As betting popularity increases and more states legalize it, all markets continue to grow. We are especially seeing this in golf betting; props are more frequent and the amount of markets seems to grow with each major. The most attractive bet in golf is the outright winner. The huge numbers and large payouts attract everybody […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 30, 2020

Breaking down the course for the Mayakoba Golf Classic

This week’s tournament and course preview for the PGA Tour takes us to the El Camaleon Golf Club for the Mayakoba Golf Classic. Unfortunately, we are back to a course that does not have strokes gained data, but the tour has played this course for many years, so we can look into the traditional data […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 23, 2020

Breaking down the course for the Alfred Dunhill Championship

With no PGA Tour event this week, the sole focus transitions to the European Tour and the Alfred Dunhill Championship, which will be played at Leopard Creek Golf Club. We don’t have quite the same amount of information about Euro Tour events as we do with the PGA Tour, but we still have enough to […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 18, 2020

Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (11/19-11/22)

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the RSM Classic and the Joburg Open. The rest of the golfing world is on pause this week as the world’s best arrive in Augusta, Georgia. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 18, 2020

RSM Classic betting card preview

With the Masters behind us, a number of the world's best are making the trip to Sea Island, Georgia for the RSM Classic. It's a loaded field in relation to what we typically see for the RSM Classic. Though it's not the typical post-Masters event, I'm sure staying in the state of Georgia for a […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

November 16, 2020

Breaking down the course for RSM Classic

After a glorious week at Augusta National, the tour moves on to Sea Island, GA to play the RSM Classic. Typically, after The Masters, the tour travels to Harbour Town for the RBC Heritage, but the RSM won’t be all that different. Same general geographic area and style of course(s). That is right, the RSM Classic is […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 10, 2020

The Masters betting card preview

There's just nothing like it. The pomp and circumstance around the world's premier golf tournament will have a unique feel this year. It's November, not April. There will be no "Tiger roar" regardless of how well Tiger Woods — or anyone — is playing, because no patrons will be walking the course or sitting in […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

November 10, 2020

Best bets for The Masters

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the The Masters. The rest of the golfing world is on pause this week as the world’s best arrive in Augusta, Georgia. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour as well […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 6, 2020

Breaking down the course and the field for the Masters

Masters week has arrived. Unfortunate circumstances have led to a November Masters, but hopefully this unique situation will bring a Masters we won’t forget. It feels like the PGA tour has been playing new courses all autumn long, so it’s nice for the tour to arrive at iconic Augusta National. Like the new courses the […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 4, 2020

Houston Open betting card preview

With the Masters on deck, a number of the world's best are making the trip to Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston for this week's Houston Open. Typically a lot of the top players will get out to Augusta National early and play the week before, but the course is closed still, so Houston is […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

November 4, 2020

Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (11/5-11/8)

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the Houston Open. With the strange format for the European Tour event this week, there will be not best bets but be sure to join the discord to keep an eye out for any potential live wagers on the Cyprus Showdown. As always, one of the […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

November 2, 2020

Breaking down the course for Houston Open

Another week on the PGA tour and another new golf course. This week’s Vivant Houston Open will be taking place at Memorial Park Golf Course. It is listed as a Par 72, 7,292 yards; with a makeup of five Par 5s and five Par 3s, leaving only eight Par 4s. So, despite the distance on the […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 28, 2020

Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (10/28-11/1)

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the Bermuda Classic and Cyprus Open. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour. Markets are smaller and less popular, which often provides the largest edges (T20s/10s/matchups). I strongly encourage you, if […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 27, 2020

The Bermuda Championship betting card preview

With the Masters fast approaching, most of the world's best are passing on this week's trip to Port Royal Golf Course for the 2020 Bermuda Championship. The only golfer in the field this week who played last week at the Zozo is defending champion Brendon Todd. Last year's iteration was the first time Port Royal […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

October 26, 2020

Course breakdown for Port Royal for the Bermuda Championship

This week’s course preview brings us to Port Royal Golf Course in Bermuda. Last year this course hosted the inaugural Bermuda Championship and unfortunately, ShotLink data is not available once again to help break down the course. One year of basic data is better than nothing, but I’m still not sure it’s enough to definitively say who […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 21, 2020

Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (10/20-10/25)

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from Zozo Championship and the Italian Open. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour. Markets are smaller and less popular, which often provides the largest edges (T20s/10s/matchups). I strongly encourage you, if […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 20, 2020

The Zozo Championship betting card preview

After consecutive weeks in Las Vegas, the PGA Tour heads to Sherwood Country Club in Thousand Oaks, California for the Zozo Championship. Typically held in Japan, the Zozo Championship, along with the entire Asian swing season, has been moved stateside thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic that continues to be omnipresent in all of our worlds.  […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

October 19, 2020

Breaking down the course for Sherwood CC for the Zozo Championship

This week’s PGA course preview takes us to California for the Zozo Championship being played at Sherwood Country Club. This course is not brand new to the tour, but it’s only ever hosted small events like the Shark Shootout, and from 2000 to 2013 it was the home of the Hero World Challenge (which is […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 14, 2020

Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (10/13-10/18)

This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the CJ Cup and the Scottish Championship. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour. Markets are smaller and less popular, which often provides the largest edges (T20s/10s/matchups). I strongly encourage you, […]

FTN Staff

PGA Bets

October 13, 2020

The CJ Cup betting card preview

We're in Las Vegas for the second week in a row, this time at Shadow Creek Golf Course for the CJ Cup. The CJ Cup has been held at the Nine Bridges Golf Club on Jeju Island in South Korea since 2017, but the venue has changed, just like everything else in our lives, due […]

Ryan Noonan

PGA Bets

October 12, 2020

Breaking down the course for Shadow Creek for the CJ Cup

This week’s PGA Tour course preview takes us to Shadow Creek for the CJ Cup. Typically, this even is played in South Korea, but with the current circumstances, it will be held in Las Vegas at Shadow Creek. The PGA Tour has never played an event here, but we did see this course when “The […]

FTN Staff