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Reading the green: 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you […]
FTN Staff
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PGA
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Tipico Tips: Handicapping the 2021 Phoenix Open
This week, the PGA Tour is off to Phoenix to play the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course. It’s a rare course where an advantage can be gained through both distance and accuracy, though distance still reigns supreme when searching for the largest edge. Aggressive golfers can be greatly rewarded here, with […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open betting card preview
The Stadium Course and world-famous Par-3 16th hole at the Waste Management Phoenix Open will undoubtedly feel different this week than in years past, though having 5,000 people outside the rope in Scottsdale will provide a unique experience of its own when compared to the previous seven months of PGA Tour events. That's not the […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open betting preview
This week the PGA Tour leaves California and heads for Phoenix to play the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course. It will be a strange scene this year I’m sure, as the “loudest hole in golf” won’t be so loud, with the tournament limiting spectators to only 5,000 per day. I truly […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Reading the green: 2021 Phoenix Open and Saudi Invitational
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the Phoenix Open, and the European Tour event, the Saudi Invitational. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for […]
FTN Staff
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PGA
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2021 Farmers Insurance Open betting card preview
We're a few events into the PGA season, but things begin to heat up this week for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. We'll start to see the world's best golfers week-in and week-out moving forward, and this years' event has an added layer of intrigue with the U.S. Open takes place here on […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Tipico Tips: Handicapping the Farmers Insurance Open
This week the PGA Tour is heading to San Diego for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. The South Course, future site of the 2021 US Open, will play host to three of the four rounds this weekend, with the golfers playing one of their two opening rounds on the North Course as well. Although […]
FTN Staff
PGA
Bets
2021 Farmers Insurance Open betting preview
This week’s PGA Tournament preview takes us to San Diego for the Farmers Insurance Open, which is played at Torrey Pines. Like last week, the field will split rounds one and two between the Torrey Pines North and South courses, finishing the weekend on the South Course. There will be a lot of talk this week […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Farmers Insurance Open and Dubai Desert Classic model odds
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the Farmers Insurance Open, and the European Tour event, the Dubai Desert Classic. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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2021 American Express betting card preview
The PGA Tour heads east from Hawaii to California for this week's American Express at PGA West. This event changes its name like I change my underwear, so if you're looking at past events, this could be the Desert Classic, CareerBuilder Challenge, or the Bob Hope Classic. This year's American Express has a new wrinkle, […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
The 2021 American Express betting preview
This week’s PGA Tour tournament preview takes us to California for the American Express. You read that correctly, there is no formal “open/tournament/shoot-out/etc”, just the American Express. It’s awful, like this tournament can often be. However, the amateur portion of this event has been canceled this year turning this normal snooze fest into potential solid […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Sony Open betting card preview
The second week of the 2021 season keeps us in Hawaii, this time at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu for the season's first full-field event, the Sony Open. As you've likely heard, playing on Maui in the Tournament of Champions the week before the Sony Open has been a strong predictor of success. Course experience matters […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Sony Open betting preview
This week’s tournament preview follows the PGA Tour as it makes the short trip over to Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open. This will be the first full field event of 2021 and the return of sweating out a Friday cut! Before we dive head first into the course, it must be noted that the […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Sony Open model odds
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event – The Sony Open. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Tournament of Champions betting card preview
The PGA Tour wasn't away for very long, but the 2021 season kicks off this week with the annual trip to Maui for the Tournament of Champions at the Kapalua Plantation Course, a unique par-73 track. As is often the case with coastal courses, wind can play a major factor in the event, which was […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Sentry Tournament of Champions betting preview
After a tumultuous 2020, the PGA Tour returns to kick off the 2021 calendar year in Kapalua, HI, at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. This is mostly a tournament of champions, but with the 2020 schedule deviating, the requirements to get into the Tournament of Champions was altered. Those who won, as well as those […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Handicapping this week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions
The PGA Tour returns this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Below are odds from my model for this week’s event. I have included both the win probability in percentage form as well as the American-style odds. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Betting 101: Bankroll management and staking golf wagers
I wanted to write something to explain expectations of following along with golf wagering, and this could be helpful for your wagering in other sports as well. You could be great at picking winners in any sport, but if you’re terrible at managing your money, you will end up losing. Downturns are an inevitable part […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Analyzing variance in putting on the PGA Tour
This week, I would like to see if there is any predictability in putting when breaking it down by five-foot increments. Last week, I introduced a basic breakdown showing how ball striking and short game relates to a golfer’s skill. We saw that although ball-striking made up more of the composition, the short game still played […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Analyzing golf skill vs. long and short games
Every week, the most talked about statistics in golf are strokes gained, and in particular, ball striking. If you’re not familiar with strokes gained, the PGA Tour describes in depth how it is calculated here. On the surface, strokes gained stats are great at telling the story of how a golfer has come upon their […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Betting 101: Why you should convert American odds to win probability
This is a lesson that can be used across all sports for many different reasons, but I’m going to go over why I think it’s especially important when wagering on golf outrights. I’ve written a lot recently about finding edges and what to do with those edges once you find them. Your wagering amount should […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Breaking down the course for the DP World Tour Championship
We have made it to the end of the road. This week's DP World Tour Championship on the European Tour is the last major tournament of the 2020 calendar year. It’s been a strange journey for both the PGA and European tours; makeshift schedules, new courses, new sponsors, co-sanctioned events, and more. The culmination of all of […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Betting 101: Expected value and staking
In last week’s betting article, I mentioned that in order to be a more profitable bettor, you want to know your expected value on wagers you’re making and then how to determine how much to bet. These steps are important to being profitable over time. You can have an edge in wagering but if you’re incorrectly staking, […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Mayakoba Golf Classic betting card preview
After a week off, the PGA Tour is back this week for the final stop on the 2020 calendar. A surprisingly strong field heads to Playa del Carmen, Mexico for this year's Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club. Axis does a great job of previewing El Camaleon in his course breakdown this week. […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Betting 101: What to look for when betting on golf
As betting popularity increases and more states legalize it, all markets continue to grow. We are especially seeing this in golf betting; props are more frequent and the amount of markets seems to grow with each major. The most attractive bet in golf is the outright winner. The huge numbers and large payouts attract everybody […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Breaking down the course for the Mayakoba Golf Classic
This week’s tournament and course preview for the PGA Tour takes us to the El Camaleon Golf Club for the Mayakoba Golf Classic. Unfortunately, we are back to a course that does not have strokes gained data, but the tour has played this course for many years, so we can look into the traditional data […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Breaking down the course for the Alfred Dunhill Championship
With no PGA Tour event this week, the sole focus transitions to the European Tour and the Alfred Dunhill Championship, which will be played at Leopard Creek Golf Club. We don’t have quite the same amount of information about Euro Tour events as we do with the PGA Tour, but we still have enough to […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Around The World: Best bets for this week in golf (11/19-11/22)
This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the RSM Classic and the Joburg Open. The rest of the golfing world is on pause this week as the world’s best arrive in Augusta, Georgia. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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RSM Classic betting card preview
With the Masters behind us, a number of the world's best are making the trip to Sea Island, Georgia for the RSM Classic. It's a loaded field in relation to what we typically see for the RSM Classic. Though it's not the typical post-Masters event, I'm sure staying in the state of Georgia for a […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Breaking down the course for RSM Classic
After a glorious week at Augusta National, the tour moves on to Sea Island, GA to play the RSM Classic. Typically, after The Masters, the tour travels to Harbour Town for the RBC Heritage, but the RSM won’t be all that different. Same general geographic area and style of course(s). That is right, the RSM Classic is […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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The Masters betting card preview
There's just nothing like it. The pomp and circumstance around the world's premier golf tournament will have a unique feel this year. It's November, not April. There will be no "Tiger roar" regardless of how well Tiger Woods — or anyone — is playing, because no patrons will be walking the course or sitting in […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
Bets
Best bets for The Masters
This week’s golf best bets will be coming from the The Masters. The rest of the golfing world is on pause this week as the world’s best arrive in Augusta, Georgia. As always, one of the main goals of this article is to expose other golf betting opportunities outside of the PGA Tour as well […]
FTN Staff