Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
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2021 WGC-Workday Championship betting preview
This week’s PGA Tour tournament preview for the WGC Mexico takes us not to Mexico, but to Bradenton Florida and the Concession Golf Club. The pandemic caused the Tour to make the move from Mexico City to Florida for this WGC and to a golf course we have not seen before on the PGA Tour. […]
FTN Staff
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Reading the green: 2021 WGC-Workday Championship
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the WGC-Workday Championship. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best see […]
FTN Staff
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2021 Genesis Invitational betting card preview
A big talking point heading into last week's stop at Pebble Beach was the lack of star power in the field, a valid point when considering that none of the OWGR Top 10 teed it up last week. The top of the board at Pebble did emerge though, with strong showings from both Patrick Cantlay […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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Alternate Shot: 2021 Genesis Invitational betting preview
FTN Staff
PGA
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2021 Genesis Invitational Tournament betting preview
This week’s PGA Tournament preview takes us down the coast of California to another iconic course, Riviera Country Club, for the Genesis Invitational. We have a world class field this week highlighted by Dustin Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy. Victory will be hard to find for those outside of the […]
FTN Staff
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Reading the green: 2021 Genesis Invitational
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the 2021 Genesis Invitational. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best see […]
FTN Staff
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2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting card preview
This week's event at Pebble Beach will look a bit different than past iterations, most notably lacking the amateur element and three-course rotation that typically forces a 54-hole cut. Bill Murray and Larry the Cable Guy can have Monterrey Peninsula to themselves this week. The 156-golfer field will split time between Pebble Beach and Spyglass […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting preview
This week’s PGA Tour tournament preview will take us back to California for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, which takes place at Pebble Beach Golf Links. The course is historic and as far as the Tour’s regular rotation goes, it’s right alongside Augusta National in golf lore. Despite having “links” in the title, Pebble Beach […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Reading the green: 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you […]
FTN Staff
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PGA
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Tipico Tips: Handicapping the 2021 Phoenix Open
This week, the PGA Tour is off to Phoenix to play the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course. It’s a rare course where an advantage can be gained through both distance and accuracy, though distance still reigns supreme when searching for the largest edge. Aggressive golfers can be greatly rewarded here, with […]
FTN Staff
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2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open betting card preview
The Stadium Course and world-famous Par-3 16th hole at the Waste Management Phoenix Open will undoubtedly feel different this week than in years past, though having 5,000 people outside the rope in Scottsdale will provide a unique experience of its own when compared to the previous seven months of PGA Tour events. That's not the […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open betting preview
This week the PGA Tour leaves California and heads for Phoenix to play the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course. It will be a strange scene this year I’m sure, as the “loudest hole in golf” won’t be so loud, with the tournament limiting spectators to only 5,000 per day. I truly […]
FTN Staff
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Reading the green: 2021 Phoenix Open and Saudi Invitational
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the Phoenix Open, and the European Tour event, the Saudi Invitational. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for […]
FTN Staff
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2021 Farmers Insurance Open betting card preview
We're a few events into the PGA season, but things begin to heat up this week for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. We'll start to see the world's best golfers week-in and week-out moving forward, and this years' event has an added layer of intrigue with the U.S. Open takes place here on […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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Tipico Tips: Handicapping the Farmers Insurance Open
This week the PGA Tour is heading to San Diego for the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. The South Course, future site of the 2021 US Open, will play host to three of the four rounds this weekend, with the golfers playing one of their two opening rounds on the North Course as well. Although […]
FTN Staff
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2021 Farmers Insurance Open betting preview
This week’s PGA Tournament preview takes us to San Diego for the Farmers Insurance Open, which is played at Torrey Pines. Like last week, the field will split rounds one and two between the Torrey Pines North and South courses, finishing the weekend on the South Course. There will be a lot of talk this week […]
FTN Staff
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Farmers Insurance Open and Dubai Desert Classic model odds
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event, the Farmers Insurance Open, and the European Tour event, the Dubai Desert Classic. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a […]
FTN Staff
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2021 American Express betting card preview
The PGA Tour heads east from Hawaii to California for this week's American Express at PGA West. This event changes its name like I change my underwear, so if you're looking at past events, this could be the Desert Classic, CareerBuilder Challenge, or the Bob Hope Classic. This year's American Express has a new wrinkle, […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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The 2021 American Express betting preview
This week’s PGA Tour tournament preview takes us to California for the American Express. You read that correctly, there is no formal “open/tournament/shoot-out/etc”, just the American Express. It’s awful, like this tournament can often be. However, the amateur portion of this event has been canceled this year turning this normal snooze fest into potential solid […]
FTN Staff
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Sony Open betting card preview
The second week of the 2021 season keeps us in Hawaii, this time at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu for the season's first full-field event, the Sony Open. As you've likely heard, playing on Maui in the Tournament of Champions the week before the Sony Open has been a strong predictor of success. Course experience matters […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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Sony Open betting preview
This week’s tournament preview follows the PGA Tour as it makes the short trip over to Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open. This will be the first full field event of 2021 and the return of sweating out a Friday cut! Before we dive head first into the course, it must be noted that the […]
FTN Staff
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Sony Open model odds
Below are odds from my model for this week’s PGA Tour event – The Sony Open. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your own model to make adjustments. These odds are meant to be a tool for you to use how you best […]
FTN Staff
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Tournament of Champions betting card preview
The PGA Tour wasn't away for very long, but the 2021 season kicks off this week with the annual trip to Maui for the Tournament of Champions at the Kapalua Plantation Course, a unique par-73 track. As is often the case with coastal courses, wind can play a major factor in the event, which was […]
Ryan Noonan
PGA
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Sentry Tournament of Champions betting preview
After a tumultuous 2020, the PGA Tour returns to kick off the 2021 calendar year in Kapalua, HI, at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. This is mostly a tournament of champions, but with the 2020 schedule deviating, the requirements to get into the Tournament of Champions was altered. Those who won, as well as those […]
FTN Staff
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Handicapping this week’s Sentry Tournament of Champions
The PGA Tour returns this week with the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Below are odds from my model for this week’s event. I have included both the win probability in percentage form as well as the American-style odds. You can use these to compare to a bookmaker’s odds straight up, or you could use them in your […]
FTN Staff
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Betting 101: Bankroll management and staking golf wagers
I wanted to write something to explain expectations of following along with golf wagering, and this could be helpful for your wagering in other sports as well. You could be great at picking winners in any sport, but if you’re terrible at managing your money, you will end up losing. Downturns are an inevitable part […]
FTN Staff
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Analyzing variance in putting on the PGA Tour
This week, I would like to see if there is any predictability in putting when breaking it down by five-foot increments. Last week, I introduced a basic breakdown showing how ball striking and short game relates to a golfer’s skill. We saw that although ball-striking made up more of the composition, the short game still played […]
FTN Staff
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Analyzing golf skill vs. long and short games
Every week, the most talked about statistics in golf are strokes gained, and in particular, ball striking. If you’re not familiar with strokes gained, the PGA Tour describes in depth how it is calculated here. On the surface, strokes gained stats are great at telling the story of how a golfer has come upon their […]
FTN Staff
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Betting 101: Why you should convert American odds to win probability
This is a lesson that can be used across all sports for many different reasons, but I’m going to go over why I think it’s especially important when wagering on golf outrights. I’ve written a lot recently about finding edges and what to do with those edges once you find them. Your wagering amount should […]
FTN Staff
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Breaking down the course for the DP World Tour Championship
We have made it to the end of the road. This week's DP World Tour Championship on the European Tour is the last major tournament of the 2020 calendar year. It’s been a strange journey for both the PGA and European tours; makeshift schedules, new courses, new sponsors, co-sanctioned events, and more. The culmination of all of […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Betting 101: Expected value and staking
In last week’s betting article, I mentioned that in order to be a more profitable bettor, you want to know your expected value on wagers you’re making and then how to determine how much to bet. These steps are important to being profitable over time. You can have an edge in wagering but if you’re incorrectly staking, […]
FTN Staff
PGA
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Mayakoba Golf Classic betting card preview
After a week off, the PGA Tour is back this week for the final stop on the 2020 calendar. A surprisingly strong field heads to Playa del Carmen, Mexico for this year's Mayakoba Golf Classic at El Camaleon Golf Club. Axis does a great job of previewing El Camaleon in his course breakdown this week. […]
Ryan Noonan