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Fantasy Football Stat of the Day: Sharing the end zone in Tampa

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(Leading up to the 2021 NFL season, FTN’s Tyler Loechner will dive into the fantasy football numbers to bring you his Fantasy Stat of the Day, five days a week.)

Knowledge is power. So are end zone targets.

13% of all fantasy receiving points are scored on passes that are thrown when the receiver is in the end zone. In fact, more total fantasy points are scored on end-zone targets than on targets where the receiver is anywhere from the 1- to 10-yard line — combined.

Distance From EZ Targets Rec. FPs % of all Rec. FPs
0 1539 4252 13%
1 154 647 2%
2 136 410 1%
3 99 240 1%
4 121 313 1%
5 233 466 1%
6 96 271 1%
7 114 259 1%
8 105 222 1%
9 125 222 1%
10 242 412 1%

And when it came to end zone targets in 2020, two teammates towered over the rest.

Rob Gronkowski and Mike Evans actually can coexist as top red zone targets 

Calvin Ridley an Adam Thielen paced the league with 23 end zone targets in 2020. But shortly behind them were two pairs of teammates: DK Metcalf (18) and Tyler Lockett (16), and Rob Gronkowski (17) and Mike Evans (15).

player pos tgt ezTgt %
Adam Thielen WR 116 23 19.8%
Calvin Ridley WR 153 23 15.0%
DK Metcalf WR 137 18 13.1%
Davante Adams WR 155 17 11.0%
Rob Gronkowski TE 85 17 20.0%
Nelson Agholor WR 95 17 17.9%
Tyler Lockett WR 139 16 11.5%
Allen Robinson WR 157 16 10.2%
Mike Evans WR 122 15 12.3%
Tyreek Hill WR 139 15 10.8%
Mike Williams WR 93 15 16.1%
T.Y. Hilton WR 107 15 14.0%
Michael Gallup WR 113 15 13.3%
DeVante Parker WR 113 15 13.3%

The teammate duo of Metcalf and Lockett combined for more EZ targets than Gronkowski and Evans, but there are many more mouths to feed in Tampa Bay, so that’s where we’ll focus for this article.

Among players with at least 50 targets, Gronkowski’s 20% end zone target rate was highest in the league. Meanwhile, Evans saw an end zone target on 12.3% of his looks.

The fact both Gronkowski and Evans were able to secure so many end zone targets while playing with so many other talented players — Antonio Brown (late in the season), Chris Godwin, Cameron Brate, O.J. Howard (early in the season) to name a few — is an impressive feat.

In the end, no other Bucs players saw even half as many end zone targets as Gronkowski or Evans. Godwin was next-closest with eight.

When Tom Brady and Gronkowski joined the Buccaneers, there were all sorts of questions about who would benefit and who would be hurt. A common consensus was the Evans would be the one to take the biggest blow with Gronkowski being such a good red zone threat.

It turns out that wasn’t true. There’s enough room in Tampa for both.

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