Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Travis Kelce from EV Insight

Travis KelceReceiving Yards

Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-120) after it opened @ 80.5 (-115).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
This week, Travis Kelce is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 9.5 targets.
After totaling 67.0 air yards per game last season, Travis Kelce has gotten better this season, currently pacing 76.0 per game.
Travis Kelce’s 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 55.4.
With an outstanding 84.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (100th percentile) this year, Travis Kelce ranks among the top pass-game tight ends in football.

Cons

The Chiefs are a giant 7-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards