Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jerry JeudyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Broncos vs. Packers
Right now, Jerry Jeudy’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-114).
Pros
- Jerry Jeudy ranks in the 83rd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 55.7 figure this year.
- Jerry Jeudy’s 6.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a a noteworthy growth in his efficiency in the open field over last season’s 4.8% mark.
Cons
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Broncos this year (just 50.7 per game on average).
- Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
- Jerry Jeudy has posted quite a few less air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
