Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-137) after it opened @ 53.5 (-119).
Pros
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 45.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
- With regard to a defense’s influence on tempo, at 27.70 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 10th-fastest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
- In this game, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.5 carries.
- Out of all running backs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 46.2% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
- With an excellent tally of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Bijan Robinson stands as one of the best pure runners in the NFL this year.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has yielded a meager 86.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
