Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Broncos vs. Packers
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-121/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-121) after it opened @ 40.5 (-121).
Pros
- Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football (62.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Green Bay Packers.
- Our trusted projections expect Romeo Doubs to accrue 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
- Romeo Doubs’s 22.7% Target% this season conveys a a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last season’s 15.6% mark.
- Romeo Doubs has posted far more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Cons
- The model projects the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (just 52.2 per game on average).
- Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 27.0 per game) this year.
- Romeo Doubs’s 62.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a a material decline in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 66.2% figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards
45
Receiving Yards
