Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joshua Dobbs from EV Insight

Joshua DobbsPassing Yards

Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 216.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 216.5 (-110) after it opened @ 218.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Joshua Dobbs’s throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 62.4% to 65.7%.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

The projections expect the Cardinals offensive approach to skew 5.5% more towards the ground game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 200.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Rams defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
217
Passing Yards