Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 278.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 278.5 (-110) after it opened @ 281.5 (-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a monstrous 64.4 per game on average).
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
In racking up a colossal 42.5 pass attempts per game this year, Matthew Stafford places among the top quarterbacks in football (100th percentile) in this respect.
The Cardinals defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.

Cons

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
The model projects the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
Matthew Stafford’s passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.3% to 60.3%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
267
Passing Yards