Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram from EV Insight

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-114).

Pros

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 136.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
With an elite 84.1% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) this year, Evan Engram places among the TEs with the highest volume in football.
Evan Engram has been among the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 48.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
This year, the poor Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for a massive 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst in the league.

Cons

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the formidable Colts pass defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 3.9 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards