Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Tua Tagovailoa from EV Insight

Tua TagovailoaPassing Yards

Right now, Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is set at 282.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 282.5 (-110) after it opened @ 274.5 (-110).

Pros

Tua Tagovailoa’s 319.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a a substantial improvement in his throwing talent over last season’s 253.0 rate.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 72.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a a noteworthy improvement in his throwing precision over last season’s 64.0% figure.
Tua Tagovailoa’s 9.60 adjusted yards-per-target this year reflects a an impressive growth in his passing effectiveness over last year’s 8.2% figure.
The Carolina Panthers defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 8th-most in the NFL.
The Panthers cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Cons

With a 14-point advantage, the Dolphins are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 33.5 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Panthers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
273
Passing Yards