Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyreek Hill from EV Insight

Tyreek HillReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyreek Hill’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (-120/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 89.5 (-120) after it opened @ 86.5 (-113).

Pros

In this week’s game, Tyreek Hill is predicted by the projection model to land in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 10.0 targets.
Tyreek Hill slots into the 98th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 77.7 mark this year.
Tyreek Hill’s 118.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a an impressive progression in his receiving ability over last year’s 92.0 mark.
Tyreek Hill’s sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 70.8% to 73.9%.
Tyreek Hill’s 12.3 adjusted yards per target this year marks a a significant growth in his receiving skills over last year’s 9.4 figure.

Cons

With a 14-point advantage, the Dolphins are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Panthers defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
After accumulating 131.0 air yards per game last season, Tyreek Hill has seen a big decline this season, currently pacing 121.0 per game.

Projection

THE BLITZ
100
Receiving Yards