Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kirk Cousins from EV Insight

Kirk CousinsPassing Yards

Right now, Kirk Cousins’s passing yards prop is set at 260.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 260.5 (-110) after it opened @ 243.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run 64.4 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The projections expect Kirk Cousins to attempt 37.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
Kirk Cousins’s 299.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a a remarkable boost in his throwing prowess over last season’s 264.0 figure.

Cons

This week’s spread indicates a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Vikings this year (just 56.2 per game on average).

Projection

THE BLITZ
221
Passing Yards