Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.5% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to notch 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
Dalton Schultz has compiled a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Dalton Schultz has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
Dalton Schultz’s sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.9% to 66.7%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards