Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 208.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 208.5 (-110) after it opened @ 192.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an impressive 68.4% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
- Dak Prescott has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 7.71 yards-per-target while checking in at the 81st percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
- Dak Prescott has thrown for a lot fewer yards per game (250.0) this season than he did last season (288.0).
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 214.0 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards
237
Passing Yards
