Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight

Jared GoffPassing Yards

Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 245.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 245.5 (-137) after it opened @ 252.5 (-115).

Pros

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 10th-most of all quarterbacks.
Jared Goff has passed for many more yards per game (258.0) this year than he did last year (228.0).
Jared Goff’s throwing effectiveness has improved this season, notching 7.46 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.46 figure last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 216.0 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards