Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Carson Wentz from EV Insight

Carson WentzPassing Yards

Right now, Carson Wentz’s passing yards prop is set at 203.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 203.5 (-110) after it opened @ 218.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.16 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Carson Wentz has attempted 36.9 throws per game this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile among QBs.
The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 9th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Washington Commanders offensive line has given their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Carson Wentz has been among the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 61.5% Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.
Carson Wentz has been among the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 6.20 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 6th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards