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Best MLB Bets Today – Free (Saturday 8/19)

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Welcome to another Saturday edition of MLB best bets. A “Burger Bomb” kept our momentum rolling Friday as Jake Burger hit yet another home run in Dodger Stadium. Saturday, we’ll look to keep the winning ways going as we take a look into Game 2 of a weekend series between the San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves, taking place in Truist Park.  

 

San Francisco  Giants @ Atlanta Braves

The Braves just keep on winning. Alex Cobb was the latest victim of an early start from the Atlanta lineup Friday as the Braves took Game 1 in a 4-0 shutout. Saturday, Logan Webb will take back his lead in most innings pitched this season, the question is can he keep the Braves lineup under control long enough?

Matt Olson will look to help spearhead the charge against Webb. He enters with a career .250 AVG against Webb with 2 1B, 1 HR and 3 RBIs. Olson remains tied atop the MLB HR leader board with Shohei Ohtani after Friday. Logan Webb has fared well against LHB this season, but the pitch mix he uses goes right up Olson’s alley. 

Webb has used his changeup, sinker and slider 93% of the time against LHB this season. Below are Matt Olson’s numbers against those pitches. 

Logan Webb vs. LHB Matt Olson vs. RHP
Changeup .265 ISO, 4 HR, 8 XBH
Sinker .463 ISO, 5 HR, 6 XBH
Slider .311 ISO, 5 HR, 8 XBH

League average ISO is .140.

Best Bet

Matt Olson over 1.5 Total Bases (+100, DraftKings Sportsbook) — 1-Unit Wager 

Logan Webb has only struck out LHB at a 14.8% clip this season and has allowed them to collect a 50.8% hard hit rate. Saturday, we’ll look for Olson to get back on track and potentially reclaim the lone spot as the MLB home run leader.

 
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