We’re heading into Week 12 of the NFL season, and that means it’s time again to check in on our player props of the week.
BetRivers has a full betting board of player pros for each of the remaining games. We are going to dive into some of the best ones here ranging from yardage props to anytime touchdown scorers.
D’Andre Swift Anytime TD
(+163)
Winners of three straight, the Detroit Lions are coming off a convincing 31-18 win over the New York Giants and have somehow crept into the NFC playoff picture after starting 1-6. Jamaal Williams has been on fire and currently leads the NFL with 12 rushing touchdowns. After a three-touchdown week against the Giants, you aren’t getting any single-touchdown value from Williams. The Lions’ emergence into the NFC playoff hunt could inspire offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to get D’Andre Swift the ball more than he has the last two weeks. During that span, Swift combined for 26 yards on 11 carries and pulled in four grabs for 18 yards on six targets. However, in the Lions’ Week 10 win over the Packers, Swift showed obvious frustration on the sideline at being pulled after putting the team in position to score on a one-yard rushing touchdown the next play. Last week, Swift scored a four-yard touchdown, and I like that to continue this week, even against a Bills defense that limited Nick Chubb to 19 rushing yards last week. Since their Week 7 bye, The Bills have allowed 152.25 rushing yards per game and four touchdowns to opposing running backs. I’m fading yardage props on the Lions side of the ball, but I like both running backs to score a touchdown this week. Swift’s value is gravy.
Darius Slayton Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
(-115)
Darius Slayton has quietly pieced together productive yardage weeks in five of his last six outings and in four straight dating back to Week 7:
Darius Slayton Receiving & Targets (Weeks 5-11) |
||
Week 5 |
79 yards |
7 targets |
Week 6 |
18 yards |
3 targets |
Week 7 |
58 yards |
6 targets |
Week 8 |
66 yards |
6 targets |
Week 9 |
Bye | |
Week 10 |
95 yards |
4 targets |
Week 11 |
86 yards |
10 targets |
Vintage is in, and while this might not be vintage 2019 Darius Slayton, he is averaging 67 yards and 6 targets over his last six games. The Cowboys allow a tough 140 yards per game to opposing wide receivers, but, to Slayton’s credit, he is averaging a super-efficient 10.9 yards per target with a reception of at least 24 yards in each of his last four games. In terms of target share, Giants rookie WR Wan’Dale Robinson tore his ACL Sunday, leaving an already thin unit stretched even thinner. Despite the lack of pass-catching weaponry, however, Daniel Jones’ passing yardage prop currently sits at 193.5 and Slayton should see a sizable chunk of that. His 49.5 receiving yard prop even has a bit of YPT regression insurance built in, so, for another week anyway, Slayton’s consistency is smash potatoes this week in Dallas.