The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/22)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Orioles (+270), Phillies (-335)
Total: 8.5 runs
Keegan Akin (L) vs. Zack Wheeler (R)

Best bets: An easy same-game parlay here. Smash the Phillies.

Rangers (+220), Yankees (-270)
Total: 8.0 runs
Taylor Hearn (L) vs. Corey Kluber (R)

Which version of Corey Kluber is going to show up?
The Yankees have really been struggling, strangely — they own a .319 wOBA and 24.4% strikeout rate.
The Rangers offense is not very dynamic — their .132 ISO and .303 wOBA is among the league’s worst.

Best bets: Can the Yankees take this one? They need it desperately to stay relevant.

Mets (+152), Red Sox (-180)
Total: 9.0 runs
Taijuan Walker (R) vs. Chris Sale (L)

Can these top-10 offenses remain hot at the dish?
The Mets rank ninth in team wOBA (.328) with a .179 ISO in the L30 days.
Boston — even better. They are slamming the ball for a .355 wOBA and .214 ISO in the same time frame.

Best bets: The UNDER hit again Tuesday, but I’m taking a F3/F5 here on the Sawx.

Cardinals (-106), Brewers (-110)
Total: 9.5 runs
Miles Mikolas (R) vs. Brett Anderson (L)

Best bets: I cannot bet against the Cardinals this week with their hot streak.

Dodgers (-210), Rockies (+176)
Total: 10.5 runs
Walker Buehler (R) vs. Germán Márquez (R)

Best bets: Same game, different day. Take the UNDER with these two excellent arms.

Astros (-210), Angels (+174)
Total: 9.5 runs
José Urquidy (R) vs. Janson Junk (R)

The Angels have been horrendous at the plate, logging a .148 ISO and .290 wOBA.
Houston has been the near opposite of the Angels, logging a .350 wOBA and 18.5% strikeout rate in the last 30 days.
This has to be an all-time great pitching staff name. Tuesday, Packy Naughton; Wednesday, Janson Junk?

Best bets: The feels like it’s on repeat, and it is — plan on the Angels in a F3/F5 bet.

Braves (-180), Diamondbacks (+152)
Total: 9.5 runs
Ian Anderson (R) vs. Merrill Kelly (R)

The Braves probably were expected to drop off offensively, but in the L30: .318 wOBA, .207 ISO.
Arizona is one of the worst offenses in the league, ranking in the bottom five in strikeout rate, wOBA, and ISO.
Merrill Kelly is working his way back into form — how will he show up?

Best bets: This screams same-game parlay over at FanDuel — the Braves offense is just too good.

Mariners (+120), Athletics (-142)
Total: 8.0 runs
Chris Flexen (R) vs. Cole Irvin (L)

The Mariners showed some life offensively over the last week — can they keep surging?
Seattle’s .309 wOBA over the last 30 days has been a slight improvement, but it’s not a great mark.
The Athletics and their .316 wOBA are in the middle of the pack. Can they surge to the top?

Best bets: I’m actually taking the OVER here. With both arms struggling as of late, expect these offenses to pop.