Best NBA Bets Today – Thursday, March 6, 2025
FTN Staff
Yesterday, we examined adjusted games lost at the team level. Today, we’ll switch perspectives to evaluate the impact of injuries on each position. Note that adjusted games lost totals do not include the postseason. Some of the highest injury totals this year belonged to the San Francisco running backs, New Orleans wide receivers, Arizona defensive linemen, and Detroit edge rushers and linebackers.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Which team led the NFL in injuries at quarterback depends in part on how you count a couple of important players.
We have the Minnesota Vikings leading the league with 17.1 AGL at quarterback, but that counts rookie J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings’ assumed starter. Take out McCarthy, and the Vikings would be at 0.1 for quarterbacks.
Next we have the New Orleans Saints at 14.3 AGL for quarterbacks. But how do you want to count Taysom Hill? He’s an important situational player who should count for AGL, but is he a quarterback or a tight end? Right now we’re counting him at quarterback for the purposes of AGL, which means the Saints get 7.0 AGL for Derek Carr and 7.3 AGL for Hill. Take out Hill and move him to tight end, and the Saints would drop from second to fourth in quarterback AGL.
The team which had the highest quarterback AGL that you can’t really argue with is Cleveland at 10.9 AGL. That’s primarily the loss of Deshaun Watson to a torn Achilles but also three games missed by Jameis Winston due to shoulder issues in the final three weeks of the season.
Other notable impacted teams and players:
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- Dallas (9.1): Dak Prescott (hamstring, 9.0)
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- Jacksonville (6.5): Trevor Lawrence (shoulder/concussion, 6.5)
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- Miami (6.3): Tua Tagovailoa (concussion/hip, 6.3)
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- Las Vegas (5.3): Aidan O’Connell (thumb./knee, 4.3)
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