Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tuesday night in New York, the Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty will play a pivotal Game 2 matchup. The Aces will look to avoid a 2-0 deficit as their chase for a threepeat weighs in the balance.
I have a nice four-leg same-game parlay cooked up for this one. Let’s get into the plays.
Las Vegas Aces (+158) at New York Liberty (-196)
Total: 164 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
A’ja Wilson 20+ Points
Wilson had a historic 2024 regular season and was awarded a unanimous vote for WNBA League MVP. She averaged 26.9 PPG and scored 20 or more points in 37 of 41 games. Across her last 14 meetings with the Liberty, Wilson is averaging 21.2 PPG. Wilson has picked up her scoring when on the road this season, averaging 27.5 PPG compared to 25.6 PPG at home.
Jonquel Jones 8+ Rebounds
Jones averaged nine rebounds per game this season, sixth in the WNBA. She’s racked up at least eight rebounds in 12 of her last 20 games and in 15 of her previous 18 head-to-head matchups with the Aces. The Aces have allowed the second-most opponent rebounds per game this season at 36.1.
Sabrina Ionescu 2+ Made 3PT
Ionescu made the fifth-most three-pointers in the league this season (107). Ionescu connected on 33% of her attempts from beyond the arc and has made at least two threes in 34 of 42 games this season (81%). She averages 3.2, made three points across 15 meetings with the Aces, and has made at least two threes in 11 out of 15 meetings. Las Vegas finished last in defending the three-point line this season, allowing opponents to connect on 41% of their attempts.
Kelsey Plum 2+ Made 3PT
Plum connected on 36.8% of her threes this season and made the third most in the league (112). Plum averaged 2.8 made threes per game and has made at least two threes in 36 of 41 games (88%). Plum has been lights out from deep against the Liberty, averaging 2.8 made threes per game across a 15-game stretch. She’s drained at least two threes in 11 of those 15 meetings. The Liberty finished eighth worst in the league, defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to connect at a 33.5% rate.
Best Bet
A’ja Wilson 20+ Points
Jonquel Jones 8+ Rebounds
Sabrina Ionescu 2+ Made 3PT
Kelsey Plum 2+ Made 3PT
SGP Odds: +200 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
