First TD Bets — Wild Card Monday Slate
Alex Christenson
Saturday’s NFL doubleheader kicks off with an AFC battle with the Texans taking on the Chiefs in Kansas City. I’ve put together a same-game parlay for that game that I think works out. Let’s take a look.
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes 150+ Passing Yards
- At least 151 passing yards in all 14 games, averaging 239.1 yards on 35.9 dropbacks.
- The Texans allow 218.6 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks.
Travis Kelce 3+ Receptions and 25+ Receiving Yards
- At least 3 receptions and 27 receiving yards in 12 out of 14 (85.7%) games, averaging six grabs on 8.2 targets for 52.4 yards.
- Team-high 90.5% route participation rate and 21.3% target share.
- The Texans allow 4.1 receptions and 38.4 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends.
Nico Collins 4+ Receptions
- At least 4 receptions in all eight games playing at least 15% of the offensive snaps, averaging 6.4 grabs on 9.5 targets.
- Team-high 25% target share when playing at least 15% of the offensive snaps.
- The Chiefs allow 11.8 receptions per game to opposing wide receivers.
Isiah Pacheco 25+ Rushing Yards
- At least 32 rushing yards in all five games, averaging 53.2 yards on 13.6 carries.
- Team-high 53.1% rush share when active.
- The Texans allow 81.9 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs.
Kansas City Chiefs +19.5
- The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites at home, ranked seventh overall in DVOA (15.2%) as a team.
- The Texans are 3.5-point underdogs on the road, ranked ninth overall in DVOA (11.4%) as a team.
The Full Same-Game Parlay
(-125, FanDuel Sportsbook)
