Prime-Time Props — Wild Card Sunday Night Game

Tonight we have our first primetime playoff matchup for Sunday Night Football. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Washington Commanders for the second time this season. The Buccaneers dominated rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels in his first career start, but tonight he gets the chance for revenge in his first career playoff game. I have a four-leg parlay ready to roll in this one, so let’s get into the plays!

Wild Card Same-Game Parlay

Austin Ekeler 15+ Receiving Yards

Ekeler has exceeded 15 receiving yards in eight of 12 games this season, averaging 30.1 yards per game. Despite playing in five fewer games than lead back Brian Robinson Jr., Ekeler still leads Washington running backs in target share (7.1%), route participation (39.7%) and receiving yards (366). Sunday, he faces a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards per game to opposing running backs (38.9 YPG). Tampa Bay has allowed an opposing running back to gain 15 or receiving yards in 11 of its last 15 games.

Olamide Zaccheaus 35+ Receiving Yards

Zaccheaus has come alive in the Commanders passing game over the last four weeks. He has exceeded 35 receiving yards in four straight games, averaging 60.5 yards per game. Per Statshub, over the last four weeks, Zaccheaus ranks second among Washington receivers in target share (16.6%), snap share (59.9%) and third in route participation (68.8%). The Buccaneers have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers this season and the eighth-most yards after the catch.

Jalen McMillan 45+ Receiving Yards

McMillan has exceeded 45 or more receiving yards in five straight games, averaging 63 yards per game. Over the last five weeks, McMillan ranks second among Tampa Bay receivers in target share (17.7%), first in route participation (87.4%) and first in snap share at (73.9%). The Commanders have run man coverage at the 10th-highest rate in the league (329 dropbacks). McMillan has 245 yards against man this season and leads the team in yards per reception against man coverage (13.6).

Zach Ertz 4+ Receptions

Ertz has reeled in four or more receptions in 10 of 17 games this season, averaging 3.9 receptions per game. He ranks second among Washington receiving options in target share (15.8%), route participation (78.6%) and snap share (61.9%). Per FTN’s DVP Tool, Tampa Bay has allowed the fifth-most receptions per game to opposing tight ends (6.0 RPG). The Bucs have allowed tight ends to produce at a rate 14% above the league average (ninth-worst). An opposing tight end has had four or more receptions in five straight games against the Buccaneers.