Tipico Tips: U.S. Open bets

We have reached golf’s third major of the year, the U.S. Open, which will be played at Torrey Pines South Course in San Diego. In my article last week, I discussed a potential future winner of the event so today, using Tipico Sportsbook, I will dive into a couple of different matchups that looked like we may have an edge on.

Webb Simpson -120 vs. Justin Rose (Draw is a loss)

Perhaps it’s the reputation Rose has built for himself over the years with his major performances, but I made Simpson a much larger favorite, closer to -140. Rose has had himself a decent enough 2021 with top-10 finishes at the Masters and the PGA Championship, but the main detractor is that a lot of the work was done with his putter. On the surface putting good or bad doesn’t fully factor into my ratings however, the worrisome thing is the average iron and off the tee play. 

Simpson, although lacking in the distance department, continues to be a steady performer and has shown time and again over the last three years that he can make up for the length disadvantage with extremely elite play with his irons, wedges, and putter. It’s quite rare for Webb to lose strokes in both OTT and APP the same work, as well as ARG and PUTT. He’s able to pick up his delicacies with the other skills and this provides great consistency and a high ceiling when everything clicks. He may not flirt with the victory but overall, he’s been the better golfer by some margin in my ratings. 

Tyrrell Hatton -120 vs. Shane Lowry (Draw is a loss)

It’s not quite the edge as the previous matchup, but I do make Hatton -133 for small edge against Lowry. Hatton has not played to his peak yet in a major, but his skill set and consistency are wonderful for matchups compared to picking him to win (which simply just introduces more variance to any golfer). Mental hurdles aside, Hatton continues to be one of the best golfers in the world. In fairness, Lowry is in a zone right now and has closed the gap with his recent play. Perhaps the extended hangover from winning the Open in Ireland is finally wearing off. Three top-10s in his last four events, including at T4 at the PGA Championship, the promising thing is the charge has been led by his iron play. I fully admit it is sometimes hard to capture how much form is fleeting or lasting and that is why the edge is diminished in this matchup but I’m still comfortable taking Hatton as the slight favorite. 

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