Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
We are so back! Do I like small field events? No. Do I like no-cut events? Also no. But golf is golf, and I’m so pumped for both this week and the entire 2025 season. The 2024 season was our best ever at FTN and my personal best ever, thanks in large part to the GPP Scores. For an introduction (or refresher) to the GPP Scores, here’s some content you can check out:
Don’t feel like watching a 15-minute video? No problem, the GPP Scores can be summed up like so:
DFS is complicated. We need to consider price, rostership, projection, floor and ceiling for every player. GPP Scores combine all of that into one metric that tells us if the player is under-rostered (positive GPP Score) or over-rostered (negative GPP Score). Consequently, they are just as effective at identifying “good chalk” as they are at finding the low-rostered slate-breaker.
The GPP Scores are perfect for PGA because PGA is volatile, and it’s extremely easy to define “failure” (a missed cut). It can be difficult for our human brains to comprehend the idea that who we don’t play is often as important as who we do play, but the GPP Scores also understand this (using a really chalky player means passing on the potential opportunity to leverage the field if that player fails).
In the end, the best lineups should make us feel at least a bit uncomfortable. And that’s where hot takes come in. Each hot take can be thought of as a potential path to GPP glory.
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