Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We have four games on the NHL postseason slate for Friday, so there’s plenty of action to be had on the ice. Below you’ll see a list of three of my favorite NHL props, with a couple of bonus NHL prop bets as well.
The odds change pretty quickly in the NHL, so take advantage of our Prop Shop for the best possible odds and check out our Pick Tracker for all of my picks.
With our FTN Bets package, you’ll get picks from everyone at FTN, plus tools, projections and access to Discord, where I’ll discuss every slate.
This is a great night for SGP point parlays, so be sure to check out our FTN Bets Tracker for more! With our betting package you get all of our picks across all sports, plus access to our Discord channel and to our projections.
Be sure to check out Mean Streets for daily picks and Dangle Bet Celly for full NHL breakdowns each Tuesday and Thursday.
Happy Adrian Kempe Day!
The Best NHL Prop Bets
Evander Kane Over 2.5 SOG
(+110, DraftKings Sportsbook)
This Edmonton/Los Angeles series has produced plenty of winners in the shot prop game and it hasn’t been just Adrian Kempe. Evander Kane leads the Oilers with 16 attempts and 10 shots at 5v5 through two games. He has six shots in Game 1 and four shots in Game 2. He’s now cleared 2.5 shots on goal in four of his five games against the Kings this season. Believe it or not, Kane ranks second among Edmonton forwards in ice time at 5v5 in this series, behind Connor McDavid. Through two games, we’ve seen 281 shot attempts, 139 shots and 20 goals. Yes, we’re going back to Adrian Kempe as he’s cleared 2.5 shots on goal in 12 straight games against the Oilers. Kempe leads the series in attempts (18) and shots (12). He has at least four shots in all six games against the Oilers this season. He averaged 5.1 in the six-game series against them last year, and 4.7 in the seven-game series the year before. Kempe, Kane and Fiala are my three favorites to attack in Game 3 and in this series. There’s a lot of juice at 2.5, but I think Kempe ends up with at least three shots.
Bonus
- Kevin Fiala O 2.5 SOG (-120, DraftKings)
- Connor McDavid O 1.5 PTS (130, DraftKings)
- Leon Draisaitl O 2.5 SOG (-110, DraftKings)
- Evan Bouchard O 2.5 SOG (+110, BetRivers)
- Adrian Kempe & Anze Kopitar Points SGP (+115, Bet365)
- Kempe 4 SOG (+180,Bet365) 1u
- Kempe 5 SOG (+320, Bet365) 0.75u
- Kempe 6 SOG (+650, Bet365) 0.50u
- Kempe 7 SOG (+950, Bet365) 0.25u
Artturi Lehkonen Over 2.5 SOG
(+110, BetRivers)
We got Lehkonen at +140 in Colorado’s last game, and although the price isn’t as nice we’re still getting plus money for three shots on goal. Lehkonen leads all Colorado forwards with seven shots on goal at 5v5 in this series and his 11 shots at all strength leads the team. His 16 attempts are just behind Valieri Nichushkin and Cale Makar. One thing about the Avs to consider is the fact that they lean on their top guys more than any team in the NHL. Nathan MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Mikko Rantanen and Lehkonen all have 40-plus minutes of ice time in the series. The rest of the forward group have played 31 minutes or fewer. Lehkonen may be pencilled in on the second line, but he can move up the lineup at any time. He’ll also keep his first spot on the number one power play. I also expect MacKinnon to get his five shots with the Avs having the last change tonight, he could get away from Adam Lowry a bit more. Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers are the two Winnipeg players to attack when it comes to shot props. They have nine attempts each at 5v5, and 23 combined through two games. They also have seven total shots each in the series. I like Vilardi to register a point more than those two to hit their shot props, but I like all three.
Bonus
- Gabriel Vilardi Point (-105, DraftKings)
- Valeri Nichushkin O 2.5 SOG (-160, DraftKings)
- Kyle Connor O 2.5 SOG (-140, DraftKings)
- Nikolaj Ehlers O 2.5 SOG (-114, DraftKings)
- Nathan MacKinnon O 4.5 SOG (-125, DraftKings)
- Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele Points SGP (+115, Bet365)
Alexis Lafreniere Point
(-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
I sound like a broken record when it comes to Lafreniere, but he continues to come through for us and his price hasn’t changed. The winger has three points in the first two games of his series with the Washington Capitals. He has five points in his last five games against the Capitals as well. The thing that’s most important to me is that he continues to play with Artemi Panarin and Panarin leads NYR with 18 shot attempts (10 at 5v5) in this series. Lafreniere is second on the Rangers in shot attempts at 5v5 with seven. We’ve been on John Carlson as well and he leads the Caps in ice time (36:31) and shots (7) at 5v5. At all strengths, he has a team-high 15 attempts, nine shots, seven scoring chances. and he’s played 58:13 (14 more minutes than the next closest player.
Bonus
- John Carlson O 2.5 SOG (-110, DraftKings)
- Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider Points SGP (+110, Bet365)
Goal Scorers
Zach Hyman
Adrian Kempe
Kevin Fiala
Leon Draisaitl
Nathan MacKinnon
Filip Forsberg
Gabriel Vilardi
Chris Kreider
Alex Ovechkin
Brock Boeser
PrizePicks
- Artturi Lehkonen O 2.5 SOG
- Kevin Fiala O 2.5 SOG
- Evander Kane O 2.5 SOG
- John Carlson O 2.5 SOG
- Gabriel Vilardi Point
- Valeri Nichushkin O 2.5 SOG
- Alexis Lafreniere Point
