College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Welcome to Week 19 of our DVOA-based picks. It’s Wild-Card Weekend!
Each week, I pick (almost) every game straight up and against the spread, as well as over-under totals. This does not make this advice to bet every single game! You’ve got to pick and choose and be smart about it. But for people in office pools, we pick every game.
Every week I will post picks on Thursday morning for subscribers. Come back here on the weekend and we’ll update picks before Saturday and Sunday games.
The picks are listed with a confidence order and the picks with the strongest confidence will be colored blue. Those are picks with a difference of at least 7 points (straight up) or 3 points (spread and total). I do not make picks where the difference between the projection and the actual line is 0.1 points or lower.
| ORDER | HOME | AWAY | LINE (HOME) | PROJ LINE | SPREAD PICK | CONF. ORDER | STRAIGHT PICK | CONF. ORDER | TOTAL | PROJ TOTAL | TOTAL PICK | CONF. ORDER |
| 1 | HOU | CLE | 2.5 | 0.7 | HOU | 3 | CLE | 5 | 45.0 | 43.5 | Under | 2 |
| 2 | KC | MIA | -4.5 | -2.7 | MIA | 4 | KC | 3 | 43.5 | 44.5 | Over | 3 |
| 3 | BUF | PIT | -10 | -8.6 | PIT | 5 | BUF | 1 | 37.0 | 39.8 | Over | 1 |
| 4 | DAL | GB | -7 | -4.9 | GB | 2 | DAL | 2 | 50.5 | 51.0 | Over | 6 |
| 5 | DET | LAR | -3 | -1.6 | LAR | 6 | DET | 4 | 52.0 | 51.1 | Under | 4 |
| 6 | TB | PHI | 3 | 0.7 | TB | 1 | TB | 6 | 43.5 | 44.2 | Over | 5 |
W-L record through Week 18
- Spread: 120-120-12 (Blue picks: 18-12-2)
- Straight: 179-86 (Blue picks: 60-22)
- Totals: 123-134-4 (Blue picks: 31-41-1)
