Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tee Higgins from EV Insight

Tee HigginsReceiving Yards

Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 75.5 (-115) after it opened @ 76.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 67.3% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accrue 9.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Tee Higgins has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (70.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).

Cons

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
Tee Higgins has compiled far fewer air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (94.0 per game).
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards