Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Noah Fant grades out in the 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a staggering 7.8% of his offense’s air yards accumulated.
Noah Fant rates as one of the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 34.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Cons

A running game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (just 56.3 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in football.
Noah Fant’s 16.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 24.6.
This year, the fierce Cleveland Browns defense has allowed a feeble 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
20
Receiving Yards