Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kylen GransonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Colts vs. Commanders
Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (+100) after it opened @ 13.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling out backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Colts rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.7 plays per game.
- Kylen Granson has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).
Cons
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) to TEs this year (57.6%).
- The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
15
Receiving Yards
15
Receiving Yards
