Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kylen Granson from EV Insight

Kylen GransonReceiving Yards

Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (+100) after it opened @ 13.5 (-110).

Pros

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling out backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week’s game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.7 plays per game.
Kylen Granson has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (12.0).

Cons

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) to TEs this year (57.6%).
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 6.13 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
15
Receiving Yards