Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Seahawks vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 195.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 195.5 (-110) after it opened @ 200.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the 9th-most yards in the league (266.0 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.47 yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.3 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in football.
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- Daniel Jones has thrown for substantially fewer yards per game (181.0) this year than he did last year (218.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
209
Passing Yards
209
Passing Yards
