Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy

Brock PurdyPassing Yards

Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 239.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 239.5 (-110) after it opened @ 236.5 (-114).

Pros

The Bengals safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have only 120.9 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
236
Passing Yards