Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Over the last year or so, I have become a huge fan of showdowns in NFL DFS. The main thing I like about it is how different it is from main slates (unlike the primetime slates). This makes it feel like a different game altogether, instead of a less exciting version of the game we love so much. Showdown requires a different approach, one that in many ways is simpler than how we approach main slates.
Our showdown lineups should tell a story about how the game will go. However, we also know that our competition is largely trying to do the same. Consequently, my process is to first try to identify the story (or stories) most will use to build their lineups, then I try to identify the story that best leverages the field’s. A perfect example of this came last season when we went with “DK Metcalf and Geno Smith outduel CeeDee Lamb and Dak Prescott” on the way to a bunch of takedowns.
The process starts by examining what people will do at the team level and how that compares to our projections of what’s optimal. From there, we dive into positional breakdowns and individual player data from our simulations.
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum. "Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo. Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt. Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem.
