Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Pat Freiermuth from EV Insight

Pat FreiermuthReceiving Yards

Right now, Pat Freiermuth’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (-114/-114).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this contest, Pat Freiermuth is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 88th percentile among TEs with 5.1 targets.
This year, the shaky Rams defense has been torched for a colossal 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-worst in football.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has displayed weak efficiency against tight ends this year, surrendering 8.89 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

Cons

The 7th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
Pat Freiermuth has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Pat Freiermuth has been used much less in his offense’s air attack.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Pat Freiermuth has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards