Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-117/-112).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-117) after it opened @ 43.5 (-113).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this contest, George Kittle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets.
In regards to air yards, George Kittle ranks in the lofty 89th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a superb 35.0 per game.
George Kittle rates as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an excellent 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
George Kittle ranks as one of the leading TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Cons

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 62.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 33.0) versus tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards