NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Vikings vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-117/-112).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-117) after it opened @ 43.5 (-113).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- In this contest, George Kittle is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets.
- In regards to air yards, George Kittle ranks in the lofty 89th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a superb 35.0 per game.
- George Kittle rates as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging an excellent 9.27 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
- George Kittle ranks as one of the leading TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 80th percentile.
Cons
- The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 62.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 33.0) versus tight ends this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
